Tuesday, May 20, 2014

The Future- Maria Cristina



GLOBAL WARMING FAKE

Global warming has become one of the central political and scientific issues of the future, but there is not a scientific consensus on its long term effects. In fact, some circles do not agree with the generalized conclusion that global warming is caused by human intervention.
The correct prediction of the climate change in the future has a high impact on aspects like government planning, environmental regulation, social customs, and even the geopolitical issues. These situations are more near of the reality in a community, and they may affect the way that people live in future. It therefore made no sense to think in high technology if the planet cannot support human life.

Taking into account the importance of accurate prediction it is also necessary to evaluate the real global warming causes, and avoid that political or private economic interests deflect public attention.

The first argument against global warning caused by human intervention is that forecast models have failed with temperature trends below even the assumed zero emission scenarios. Furthermore, predictions as tropical troposphere temperature increment has not been observed in the last 30 years. As a result, if models are not reliable, conclusions are invalid or at least incorrect. 

The second argument is associated with the ice melted rate; uses data linked to artic ice tracks acquired by Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) program to prove that the ice cover was similarly reduced in the 1950s, when the Atlantic was last in a similar warm mode. In the same way, sea levels actually slowed in the late 20th century and have declined in the last few years
Finally, local effects attributed to global warming can be associated with other phenomenon, which explains better the data. For example, Mount Kilimanjaro's ice loss is due to land use, and deforestation according to the last data.

Alarmist had predicted a permanent El Niño phenomenon, and drier summers in Northern hemisphere. However, the last decade has featured, 7 “Niña” and just 3 “Niño” years.
In conclusion, a model that cannot give exact predictions should have to be evaluated with care, and not to believe without all the evidence.
      

Maria Cristina Henao Ruíz 

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